Question 10.73: Determining the capacity of a parking garage

Determining the capacity of a parking garage

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An entrepreneur is building a parking garage in a downtown area of a congested city. It will operate 24 hours per day and 7 days a week. If the parking deck is full when potential customers arrive, they will go elsewhere to park. Customers arrive randomly, following a Poisson process. The length of time a customer parks in the garage is a random variable.

Construction cost for the parking garage is \$ 100,000 per space, including the cost of land. Computing the discounted cash flow daily cost of ownership of the garage, including taxes and daily operating costs, it is estimated that C_{5}=\$ 2 / hour for each parking space. Parking in the downtown area costs \$ 12 /hour, which is what the entrepreneur plans to charge (R) . The entrepreneur assigns a value of \$ 50 / hour to C_{6} . It is anticipated that \lambda= 150 cars per hour and \mu=2 cars per hour. Recall,

P_{c}=\frac{(\lambda / \mu)^{c} / c !}{\sum_{k=0}^{c}(\lambda / \mu)^{k} / k !}

As shown in Table 10.39, the optimum number of parking spaces is 100 .

Interestingly, for C_{6}=\$ 12 / hour, c^{*}=96 ; for C_{6}=\$ 25 / hour, c^{*}=98 ; and for C_{6}= \$ 37.50 / hour, c^{*}=100 . Hence, the optimum size of the parking garage is not sensitive to the value of C_{6}. However, what if demand is not as strong as anticipated? With C_{6}=\$ 25 per hour and \lambda=120 cars per hour, c^{*}=81 ; and with \lambda=100 cars per hour, c^{*}=69 . The entrepreneur needs to be far more confident about the demand for parking than about the values of the cost parameters.

Table 10.39 Sizing a Parking Garage Economically
c Pc TC (c)
10 0.868649035344 $7,316.65
20 0.737960175044 $6,238.87
30 0.608307967007 $5,169.79
40 0.480385547450 $4,115.24
50 0.355578975316 $3,086.86
60 0.236879728160 $2,109.79
70 0.130979966894 $1,240.23
80 0.051078458847 $589.06
90 0.010695131885 $269.84
91 0.008737649646 $255.40
92 0.007072704482 $243.41
93 0.005671445183 $233.64
94 0.004504705049 $225.84
95 0.003543743314 $219.77
96 0.002760905760 $215.19
97 0.002130173622 $211.89
98 0.001627581574 $209.67
99 0.001231497887 $208.34
100 0.000922771122 $207.75
101 0.000684756868 $207.75
102 0.000503244315 $208.23
103 0.000366305806 $209.08
104 0.000264093077 $210.22
105 0.000188602335 $211.58
110 0.000030462209 $220.26

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