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Question 9.5: A national park in Namibia determines the weight (in kg) of ......

A national park in Namibia determines the weight (in kg) of a sample of common eland antelopes:

\begin{matrix} 450 & 730 & 700 & 600 & 620 & 660 & 850 & 520 & 490 & 670 & 700 & 820 \\ 910 & 770 & 760 & 620 & 550 & 520 & 590 & 490 & 620 & 660 & 940 & 790 \end{matrix}

Calculate

(a) the point estimate of μ and σ² and
(b) the confidence interval for μ (α = 0.05).

under the assumption that the weight is normally distributed.

(c) Use R to reproduce the results from (b).

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(a) The point estimate of μ is \bar{x} which is

\hat{\mu }= \bar{x} =\frac{1}{n} \sum\limits_{i=1}^{n}{x_{i}} =\frac{1}{24}\left(450+ \ldots+790 \right) = 667.92.

The variance of σ² can be estimated unbiasedly using s²:

\hat{\sigma }^{2}=s^{2}=\frac{1}{n-1} \sum\limits_{i=1}^{n}{\left(x_{i}-\bar{x}\right)^{2} }

=\frac{1}{23} \left(\left(450 − 667.92\right)^{2}+ \ldots+ \left(790 − 667.92\right)^{2}\right) \approx 18, 035.

(b) The variance is unknown and needs to be estimated. We thus need the t-distribution to construct the confidence interval. We can determine t_{23;0.975} ≈ 2.07 using qt(0.975,23) or Table C.2 (though the latter is not detailed enough), α = 0.05, \bar{x}= 667.97 and \hat{\sigma }^{2} = 18, 035. This yields

I_{l} (X) = \bar{x} − t_{n−1;{1−α}/{2}}· \frac{s}{\sqrt{n} }= 667.92 − t_{23;0.975} · \frac{\sqrt{18, 035}}{\sqrt{24} } \approx 611.17,

I_{u} (X) = \bar{x} + t_{n−1;{1−α}/{2}}· \frac{s}{\sqrt{n} } 667.92 − t_{23;0.975} · \frac{\sqrt{18, 035}}{\sqrt{24} } \approx 724.66.

The confidence interval for μ is thus [611.17; 724.66].

(c) We can reproduce these results in R as follows:

eland <- c(450,730,700,600,620,,790)
t.test(eland)$conf.int

Table C.2 (1 − α) quantiles for the t-distribution. These values can also be obtained in R using the qt(p,df) command.

d f 1 − α
0.95 0.975 0.99 0.995
1 6.3138 12.706 31.821 63.657
2 2.9200 4.3027 6.9646 9.9248
3 2.3534 3.1824 4.5407 5.8409
4 2.1318 2.7764 3.7469 4.6041
5 2.0150 2.5706 3.3649 4.0321
6 1.9432 2.4469 3.1427 3.7074
7 1.8946 2.3646 2.9980 3.4995
8 1.8595 2.3060 2.8965 3.3554
9 1.8331 2.2622 2.8214 3.2498
10 1.8125 2.2281 2.7638 3.1693
11 1.7959 2.2010 2.7181 3.1058
12 1.7823 2.1788 2.6810 3.0545
13 1.7709 2.1604 2.6503 3.0123
14 1.7613 2.1448 2.6245 2.9768
15 1.7531 2.1314 2.6025 2.9467
16 1.7459 2.1199 2.5835 2.9208
17 1.7396 2.1098 2.5669 2.8982
18 1.7341 2.1009 2.5524 2.8784
19 1.7291 2.0930 2.5395 2.8609
20 1.7247 2.0860 2.5280 2.8453
30 1.6973 2.0423 2.4573 2.7500
40 1.6839 2.0211 2.4233 2.7045
50 1.6759 2.0086 2.4033 2.6778
60 1.6706 2.0003 2.3901 2.6603
70 1.6669 1.9944 2.3808 2.6479
80 1.6641 1.9901 2.3739 2.6387
90 1.6620 1.9867 2.3685 2.6316
100 1.6602 1.9840 2.3642 2.6259
200 1.6525 1.9719 2.3451 2.6006
300 1.6499 1.9679 2.3388 2.5923
400 1.6487 1.9659 2.3357 2.5882
500 1.6479 1.9647 2.3338 2.5857

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