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Question A.1: Consider the following sorted data: {0.1, 0.3, 0.3, 0.5, 0.6......

Consider the following sorted data: {0.1, 0.3, 0.3, 0.5, 0.6, 0.6, 0.7, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.9, 1.2, 1.3, 1.4, 1.7, 1.9, 2.2, 2.6, 2.9, 3.4}. This data might be the recorded length of long-distance telephone calls (measured in minutes) at a residence over a one-month period. It is desired to plot the histogram for this data and infer an appropriate density function.

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The unbiased estimates for the population mean and standard deviation are calculated to be

\ \hat{\mu}=\frac{1}{n}\sum\limits_{i=1}^{n}{x_i}=1.25,                        (A.4)

\ \hat{\sigma}=\sqrt{\frac{1}{n-1}\sum\limits_{i=1}^{n}{(x_i-\hat{\mu})^2}}\\=\sqrt{\frac{1}{n-1}(\sum\limits_{i=1}^{n}{x_i^2-n\hat{\mu}^2)}}=0.9259.                        (A.5)

Using ξ = 0 and δ = 0.5 along with m = 7 intervals, the frequency distribution table is given in Table A.2. The corresponding empirical probability and density functions are plotted in Figure A.2. Since the graph resembles a Gamma distribution, this may be assumed to be a fair picture of the underlying (actual) distribution. Assuming this to be the case, it remains to estimate the parameters that characterize the Gamma distribution: α and β.

TABLE A.2   Frequency Distribution Table, Example A. 1

\ \begin{array}{c} \hline Number&Interval&\phi _k&p_k&f_k\\\hline 0& 0.0≤x<0.5&3&0.15&0.30\\1& 0.5≤x<1.0&8&0.40&0.80\\2& 1.0≤x<1.5&3&0.15&0.30\\3& 1.5≤x<2.0&2&0.10&0.20\\4& 2.0≤x<2.5&1&0.05&0.10\\5& 2.5≤x<3.0&2&0.10&0.20\\6& 3.0≤x<3.5&1&0.05&0.10\\\hline &&20&1.00&2.00\\\hline \end{array}

One method to estimate the parameters of the Gamma distribution is to simply note (using Appendix C) that its mean and variance are given by\ \mu = αβ  and  \sigma^2 = αβ^2 , respectively. Solving for α and β in terms of μ and σ, then using the unbiased estimators found by Equations (A.4) and (A.5), the estimators for α and β are found to be\ α = \hat{\mu}^2/\hat{\sigma}^2 \approx 1.8224  and  β = \hat{\sigma}^2/\hat{\mu}\approx 0.6859.

Again referring to appendix C, the density function estimator is

\ \hat{f}(x)=\frac{\beta^{-\alpha}}{\Gamma(\alpha)}x^{\alpha -1 }e^{-x/\beta}\\=\frac{(0.6859)^{-1.8224}}{\Gamma(1.8224)}x^{0.8224}e^{-x/0.6859}\\[0.3cm]\\=2.122\frac{x^{0.8224}}{e^{1.4579x}},               x≥0.                     (A.6)

This function is graphed and compared against the empirical density function in Figure A.2. It should be noticed that the artistic comparison (smoothness / sharpness eyeball test) agrees fairly well with the inferred density function, especially considering the small sample size.

A2

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