Question 4.32: If a fair coin is tossed 100 times, use the normal curve to ......

If a fair coin is tossed 100 times, use the normal curve to approximate the probability that the number of heads is between 45 and 55 inclusive.

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This situation is illustrated in Figure 4.20. Let X be the number of heads obtained. Then X ∼ Bin(100, 0.5). Substituting n = 100 and p = 0.5 into Equation (4.35),

If X ∼ Bin(n, p), and if np > 10 and n(1 − p) > 10, then

X ∼ N(np, np(1 − p))  approximately          (4.35)

we obtain the normal approximation X ∼ N(50, 25). Since the endpoints 45 and 55 are to be included, we should compute the area under the normal curve between 44.5 and 55.5. The z-scores for 44.5 and 55.5 are

     z = \frac{44.5\ −\ 50}{5} = −1.1,           z = \frac{55.5\ −\ 50}{5} = 1.1

From the z table we find that the probability is 0.7286. See Figure 4.22.

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