Spring Break
According to a survey conducted by OnCampus Research, 20% of college students reported they will work during spring break. Determine the probability that
a) exactly 3 of 5 college students selected at random will work during spring break.
b) exactly 4 of 4 college students selected at random will work during spring break.
a) We want to determine the probability that exactly 3 of 5 college students selected at random will work during spring break. Therefore a college student working during spring break is considered a success. Thus, x = 3 and n = 5. The probability of success, p, is 20%, or 0.2. The probability of failure, q, is 1–0.2, or 0.8. Substituting these values into the binomial formula yields
P(x) = (_nC_x)p^xq^{n-x}
P(3) = (_5C_3)(0.2)^3(0.8)^{5-3}
= 10(0.2)^3(0.8)^2
= 10(0.008)(0.64)
= 0.0512
Thus, the probability that exactly 3 of 5 randomly selected college students will work during spring break is 0.0512.
b) We want to find the probability that 4 of 4 college students selected at random will work during spring break. Thus, x = 4 and n = 4. We wish to find P(4).
P(x) = (_nC_x)p^xq^{n-x}
P(4) = (_4C_4)(0.2)^4(0.8)^{4-4}
= 1(0.2)^4(0.8)^0
= 10(0.0016)(1)
= 0.016
Thus, the probability that exactly 4 of 4 randomly selected college students will work during spring break is 0.016.