Question 6.14: A pollster will conduct a survey of a random sample of voter...

A pollster will conduct a survey of a random sample of voters in a community to estimate the proportion who suppo1t a measure on school bonds. Let p be the proportion of the population who support the measure. The pollster will test H_0: p = 0.50 versus  H_1: p ≠ 0.50 at the 5% level. If 200 voters are sampled, what is the power of the test if the true value of p is 0.55?

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The following computer output (from MINITAB) presents the solution:

Power and Sample Size

Test for One Proportion

Testing proportion = 0.5 (versus not = 0.5)
Alpha = 0.05

Alternative            Sample
Proportion            Size              Power
0.55                       200              0.292022

The first two lines of output state that this is a power calculation for a test for a single population proportion p. The next two lines state the null and alternate hypotheses, and the significance level of the test. Note that we have specified a two-tailed test with significance level α = 0.05. Next is the alternative proportion, which is the value of p (0.55) that we are assuming to be true when the power is calculated. The sample size has been specified to be 200, and the power is computed to be 0.292.

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