Question 15.14: Depreciation and Inflation Copper River Valves is evaluating...

Depreciation and Inflation
Copper River Valves is evaluating some manufacturing equipment whose first cost is $250K. The operating costs are $45K per year in year-0 dollars, and the salvage value is $0 after 10 years. The firm’s real after-tax interest rate is 9%, and the firm’s profits average $40 million per year. Inflation is expected to average 7% over the next 10 years. What is the EAC of this equipment? How much higher or lower is this than the value that ignores inflation?

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Since the operating costs are stated in year-0 dollars, the first cost will be as well. Then, which values are affected by f, the inflation rate? The first cost is at time 0, so it is not affected. However, the depreciation deduction is affected, and it has a differential inflation rate found using Equation 15.3 of f_{Δdepr.} = −6.54%. The annual $45K in operating cost is best assumed to have no differential inflation. Thus, the easiest way to include inflation is to convert the depreciation deduction from nominal to year-0 dollars.

1+f_{\Delta item} = \frac{1+ f_{item}}{1+f}                          (15.3)

From Exhibit 12.7, manufacturing equipment has a 7-year recovery period for MACRS. The VDB function (see Section 12.9) is used to compute the MACRS deduction in column B of Exhibit 15.11. Column C uses the differential inflation rate to state this tax deduction in year-0

EXHIBIT 12.7 Recovery periods for MACRS

Description of Assets Included Recovery Period
Tractors for over-the-road tractor/trailer use and special tools such as dies and jigs; ADR < 4 years 3-Year
Cars, buses, trucks, computers, office machinery, construction equipment, and R&D equipment; 4 years ≤ADR < 10 years 5-Year
Office furniture, most manufacturing equipment, mining equipment, and items not otherwise classified; 10 years ≤ADR < 16 years 7-Year
Marine vessels, petroleum refining equipment, single-purpose agricultural structures, trees and vines that bear nuts or fruits; 16 years ≤ ADR < 20 years 10-Year
Roads, shrubbery, wharves, steam and electric generation and distribution systems, and municipal wastewater treatment facilities; 20 years ≤ ADR < 25 years 15-Year
Farm buildings and municipal sewers; ADR ≥ 25 years 20-Year
Residential rental property 27.5-Year
Nonresidential real property purchased on or before 5/12/93 31.5-Year
Nonresidential real property purchased on or after 5/13/93 39-Year

EXHIBIT 15.11 Depreciation and inflation at Copper River Valves

F E D C B A
first cost for capital equipment $250,000 1
MACRS class 7 2
N 10 3
operations cost $45,000 4
f = CPI 7% 5
f(delta-depreciation) -6.54% 6
tax rate 35% 7
real interest rate 9% 8
9
ATCF(t) in
year-0 $s
Tax Taxable
Income w/
Operations
Cost
MACRS
Deduction
Constant $
MACRS
Deduction
Nominal $
Year 10
-250,000 0 11
-17,568 -27,432 -78,378 33,378 35,714 1 12
-10,533 -34,467 -98,476 53,476 61,224 2 13
-16,756 -28,244 -80,698 35,698 43,732 3 14
-20,909 -24,091 -68,831 23,831 31,237 4 15
-23,682 -21,318 -60,908 15,908 22,312 5 16
-24,046 -20,954 -59,868 14,868 22,312 6 17
-24,387 -20,613 -58,895 13,895 22,312 7 18
-26,977 -18,023 -51,493 6,493 11,156 8 19
-29,250 -15,750 -45,000 9 20
-29,250 -15,750 -45,000 10 21
PW=   -$385,166 22
PMT=    -$60,017 23

dollars. (Since the first cost is at time 0 and the tax deduction is at the end of the first year, Equation 15.1 is used.)

F_{T+t} = F_{T} (1 + f )^{t}                (15.1)

Column D shows the taxable income in year-0 dollars. This is computed by subtracting the column C values from the operations cost of −$45,000 ($A$4). Column E computes the tax savings, or negative tax, from the costs of this equipment by  multiplying each year’s value in column D times the tax rate shown in cell $A$6. From Chapter 13, that tax rate is 35% with $40M in pretax profits.
Column F computes the ATCF by subtracting the negative tax in column E from the operations cost of −$45,000 in $A$4. The function NPV(A7,F11:F20) + F10 is used to find in year-0 dollars the PW of −$385,166. The EAC is found by multiplying this value by (A/P,9%,10), or .1558, to get $60,017.
To calculate the value ignoring inflation’s impact on depreciation, the easiest approach is to change the differential inflation rate for the MACRS deduction to 0%, as shown in Exhibit 15.12. At −$372,685, the PW is better (less negative) when ignoring inflation, since the MACRS deduction is larger in year-0 dollars. The EAC is $58,072, which is $1945 or 3.2% lower. While this difference is small, in some industries profits are less than 10% of costs, so this difference could amount to half of the potential profits linked to this machinery.

EXHIBIT 15.12 Ignoring inflation’s impact on depreciation at Copper River Valves

 

F E D C B A
first cost for capital equipment $250,000 1
MACRS class 7 2
N 10 3
operations cost $45,000 4
f = CPI 0% 5
f(delta-depreciation) 0.00% 6
tax rate 35% 7
real interest rate 9% 8
9
ATCF(t) in
year-0 $s
Tax Taxable
Income w/
Operations
Cost
MACRS
Deduction
Constant $
MACRS
Deduction
Nominal $
Year 10
-250,000 0 11
-16,750 -28,250 -80,714 35,714 35,714 1 12
-7,821 -37,179 -106,224 61,224 61,224 2 13
-13,944 -31,056 -88,732 43,732 43,732 3 14
-18,317 -26,683 -76,237 31,237 31,237 4 15
-21,441 -23,559 -67,312 22,312 22,312 5 16
-21,441 -23,559 -67,312 22,312 22,312 6 17
-21,441 -23,559 -67,312 22,312 22,312 7 18
-25,345 -19,655 -56,156 11,156 11,156 8 19
-29,250 -15,750 -45,000 9 20
-29,250 -15,750 -45,000 10 21
PW= -$372,685 22
PMT= -$58,072 23

 

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