Question AC.1: Finding the x-Intercept For the line y = mx + b, the x-inter...

Finding the x-Intercept

For the line y = mx + b, the x-intercept occurs when y = 0, or x = −b/m.
Let’s designate the x-intercept as the function F = −b/m. Find the
x-intercept and its uncertainty for the least-squares line in Figure 4-11.

FIGURE 4-11
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The following quantities are computed in Section 4-7:

m = 0.615 38       s^{2}_{m} = 0.002 958 6       s^{2}_{y} = 0.038 462      ∑(x_{i}) = 14

b = 1.346 15         s^{2}_{b} = 0.045 859             D = 52

The covariance in Equation C-3 is therefore

s_{mb} = \frac{−s^{2}_{y}∑(x_{i})}{D} = \frac{−(0.038  462)(14)}{52} = −0.010 355

e_{F} = \sqrt{\underbrace{(\frac{\delta F}{\delta m})²  s^{2}_{m}  +  (\frac{\delta F}{\delta b})²  s^{2}_{b}}_{\begin{matrix} Variance  terms  from \\ Equation  C-1 \end{matrix} }   +  \underbrace{2(\frac{\delta F}{\delta m})(\frac{\delta F}{\delta b})s_{mb}}_{\begin{matrix} Covariance  accounts  for \\ correlation  of  m  and  b \end{matrix} } }            (C_2)

The x-intercept is just F = −b/m = −(1.346 15)/(0.615 38) = −2.187 5.
To find the uncertainty in F, we use Equation C-2. The derivatives in
C-2 are

\frac{\delta F}{\delta m} = \frac{\delta(−b/m)}{\delta m} = \frac{b}{m²} = \frac{1.346   15}{0.615  38²} = 3.554 7

\frac{\delta F}{\delta b} = \frac{\delta(−b/m)}{\delta b} = \frac{−1}{m} = \frac{−1}{0.615  38} = − 1.625 0

Now we can evaluate the uncertainty with Equation C-2:

e_{F} = \sqrt{(\frac{\delta F}{\delta m})²  s^{2}_{m}  +  (\frac{\delta F}{\delta b})²  s^{2}_{b}  +  2(\frac{\delta F}{\delta m})(\frac{\delta F}{\delta b})s_{mb}}

= \sqrt{(3.554  7)²(0.002  958  6)  +  (−1.625  0)²(0.045  859)  +  2(3.554  7)(−1.625  0)(−0.010  355)}

=0.527 36

The final answer can now be written with a reasonable number of digits:

F = −2.187 5 ± 0.527 36 = −2.1_{9} ± 0.5_{3}

e_{F} = \sqrt{(\frac{\delta F}{\delta x})²  e^{2}_{x}  +  (\frac{\delta F}{\delta y})²  e^{2}_{y}  +  (\frac{\delta F}{\delta \mathcal{z}})²   e^{2}_{\mathcal{z}}  +  . . .}            (C-1)

If we had used Equation C-1 and ignored the covariance term in Equation C-2, we would have computed an uncertainty of ±0.4_{0}.
To learn how to compute variance and covariance and to see how to
include weighting factors in least-squares curve fitting, see J. Tellinghuisen,
“Understanding Least Squares Through Monte Carlo Calculations,” J. Chem. Ed. 2005, 82, 157.