Question 5.7: Frank N. Stein plc has the opportunity to invest in two inve...

Frank N. Stein plc has the opportunity to invest in two investment projects in Transylvania.

The possible outcomes from each project will depend on whether the ruling party of the country wins or loses the next election. (For the sake of simplicity, we shall assume the ruling party will either win or lose outright and there is no possibility of another outcome, such as a hung parliament.) The NPV from each project under each outcome is estimated as follows:

Project 1 Project 2
NPV NPV
£m £m
Ruling party wins (20) 30
Ruling party loses 40 (30)

What should the business do to manage the risks involved in each project?

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If the business invests in both projects, the total NPV under each outcome will be as follows:

Project 1 Project 2 Total returns
NPV NPV
£m £m £m
Ruling party wins (20) 30 10
Ruling party loses 40 (30) 10

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