Question 6.CS.2: National west airline

National west airline

National west airline
20Y5 20Y6 20Y7 20Y8 20Y9
Assets
Cash $76,600 $26,049 $63,490 $66,780 $90,997
Marketable securities 0 0 4,958 12,877 19,705
Accounts receivable (net) 22,060 66,352 44,904 66,360 70,294
Parts and supplies 6,114 14,755 17,857 22,467 30,782
Prepaid expenses 9,933 15,047 15,063 26,940 39,360
Total current assets 114,707 122,203 146,272 195,424 251,138
Net property and equipment 206,583 401,751 470,389 613,789 867,968
Restricted cash 49,018 33,974 7,300 6,640 30,076
Other assets 15,098 14,327 15,516 20,032 16,074
Total assets $385,406 $572,255 $639,477 $835,885 $1,165,256
Liabilities and equity
Accounts payable $17,420 $41,104 $37,422 $64,363 $111,974
Accrued wages 3,378 3,661 9,078 11,232 13,119
Accrued interest 4,551 6,798 7,269 12,298 18,346
Accrued taxes 4,867 9,199 12,167 14,718 16,760
Current portion of long-term debt 12,158 19,816 20,717 28,864 50,827
Other 22,156 40,042 67,225 82,833 134,783
Total current liability 64,530 120,620 153,878 214,308 345,809
Long-term debt 263,034 405,856 427,707 534,465 798,397
Net worth 57,842 45,779 57,892 87,112 21,050
Total liabilities and equity $385,406 $572,255 $639,477 $835,885 $1,165,256
Operating revenues* $328,926 $575,447 $775,675 $993,409 $1,315,804
Net income 3,027 (45,675) 13,111 29,324 -74,671
* In 20Y6 revenues were $575,447 (not shown above). By 20Y9, revenues had grown to $1,315,804, which is a 3-year annual compound growth rate of 31.7 percent.
National west airline (continued)
20Y5 20Y6 20Y7 20Y8 20Y9 Ind.**
Liquidity
Current ratio 1.78 1.01 0.95 0.91 0.73 1.36
Receivables/current assets* 19.2% 54.3% 30.7% 33.9% 28.0% 40.7%
Inventory/current assets* 5.3% 12.1% 12.2% 11.5% 12.3% 1.8%
Sales/current assets* 286.8% 470.9% 530.3% 508.3% 523.9% 235.6%
Debt
Debt to net worth 566.3% 1150.0% 1004.6% 859.6% 5435.7% 172.3%
Current debt/net worth 111.6% 263.5% 265.8% 246.0% 1642.7% 91.9%
Profits
ROE 5.2% (99.8%) 22.6% 33.7% (354.7%) 9.1%
Causal
Fixed assets/net worth 357.2% 877.6% 812.5% 704.6% 4123.4% 92.9%
Collection period 24.1
days
41.5 days 20.8 days 24.0
days
19.2 days 62.2
days
Inventory turnover 53.8x 39.0x 43.4x 44.2x 42.7x 26.3x
Net sales/net worth 5.68x 12.57x 13.4x 11.4x 62.5x 2.95x
Profit margin 0.9% (7.9%) 1.7% 3.0% (5.7%) 3.1%
Misc. assets/net worth 43.3% 64.2% 52.8% 53.9% 263.3% N/A
* For these three ratios, receivables, inventory, and sales are generally divided by the working capital. However, working capital is negative, so we use current assets in the denominator. The interpretation is very similar.
** Per Dun and Bradstreet.

Analysis

  • Liquidity – The company’s quantity of liquidity, as measured by the current ratio, has declined over this three-year period and is well below the industry average of 1.36. This pattern can also be seen in the sales to the current asset ratio, which is considerably above the industry average.
  • Debt – The company’s debt ratios each year are very large and considerably above average.
  • Profits – The return on equity is very high in 20Y7 and 20Y8. However, a recession hits in 20Y9, and the company loses a lot of money.
  • Causes – This is a classic case of a company that has grown too quickly. The fixed assets to net worth ratio and the trading ratio are considerably larger than the industry averages.
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  • Liquidity – The company’s quantity of liquidity, as measured by the current ratio, has declined over this three-year period and is well below the industry average of 1.36. This pattern can also be seen in the sales to the current asset ratio, which is considerably above the industry average.
  • Debt – The company’s debt ratios each year are very large and considerably above average.
  • Profits – The return on equity is very high in 20Y7 and 20Y8. However, a recession hits in 20Y9, and the company loses a lot of money.
  • Causes – This is a classic case of a company that has grown too quickly. The fixed assets to net worth ratio and the trading ratio are considerably larger than the industry averages.

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