Question 6.CS.1: Paper products company

Paper products company

Paper products company
20X0 20X1 20X2 20X3
Cash $550,000 $450,000 $150,000 $ 50,000
Receivables 800,000 750,000 750,000 700,000
Inventory 900,000 850,000 850,000 800,000
All other 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000
Total current 2,500,000 2,300,000 2,000,000 1,800,000
Fixed 1,500,000 1,450,000 1,400,000 1,300,000
All other 500,000 500,000 400,000 300,000
Total assets $4,500,000 $4,250,000 $3,800,000 $3,400,000
Due banks $ 400,000 $ 400,000 $ 400,000 $ 400,000
Due trade 400,000 500,000 700,000 1,050,000
Taxes 100,000 -0- -0- -0-
All other -0- -0- -0- -0-
Total current 900,000 900,000 1,100,000 1,450,000
Long-term liabilities 600,000 550,000 500,000 450,000
Total liabilities 1,500,000 1,450,000 1,600,000 1,900,000
Net worth 3,000,000 2,800,000 2,200,000 1,500,000
Total $4,500,000 $4,250,000 $3,800,000 $3,400,000
Net sales $9,000,000 $8,500,000 $8,000,000 $7,500,000
Net profit 300,000 (200,000) (600,000) (700,000)
Working capital 1,600,000 1,400,000 900,000 350,000
Paper products company (continued)
20X0 20X1 20X2 20X3 Industry average
Liquidity measures
Current ratio 2.8× 2.6× 1.8× 1.2× 2.5×
Inventory to working capital 56% 61% 94% 229% 68%
Receivables to working capital 50% 54% 83% 200% 39%
Net sales to working capital 5.6× 6.1× 8.9× 21.4× 5.9×
Leverage and profitability measures
Current liabilities to net worth 30.0 32.1% 50.0% 96.7% 29.6%
Total liabilities to net worth 50.0% 51.8% 72.7% 126.7% 60.3%
Net profit to net worth 10.0% (7.1%) (27.3%) (46.7%) 8.6%
Causal ratios
Fixed assets to net worth 50.0% 51.8% 63.6% 86.7% 55.9%
Net sales to net worth 3.0× 3.0× 3.6× 5.0× 2.5×
Net profit to net sales 3.3% (2.4%) (7.5%) (9.3%) 3.5%
Net sales to inventory 10.0× 10.0× 9.4× 9.4× 9.2×
Collection period 32 days 32 days 34 days 34 days 33 days
Miscellaneous assets to net worth 25% 27% 29% 37% 16%

Casual ratio summary

  • Fixed assets to net worth – With 86.7 percent against an industry average of 55.9 percent, the company appears to have excess investment in fixed assets relative to capital. This ratio is “bad” or at best “doubtful.”
  • Net profit to net sales – Loss of 9.3 percent on each dollar of sales, in contrast with the industry average profit of 3.5 percent, certainly reflects an alarming situation and immediately places their performance in the “bad” category.
  • Net sales to net worth – With a trading ratio of 5 times per year in contrast to the industry average of 2.5, this measure points to an overtrading situation and should prompt the analyst to mark this ratio, too, as “bad.”
  • Miscellaneous assets to net worth – The present investment of 37 percent in this area is more than twice as large as the industry average of 16 percent. Any such major variance requires investigation; thus, a preliminary assessment of this ratio shows it as “bad.”

 

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Four of the six causal ratios are out of normal bounds. The next step should be to reexamine them more closely.

Fixed asset to net worth ratio

  • In 20X0 the company was average. Something happened over the next three years to cause a change.
  • In 20X0 the company was average. Something happened over the next three years to cause a change.
  • The decline in this ratio is caused by the reduction in net worth.
  • Fixed asset investment is not this company’s major problem.

The net profit to net sales ratio appears to be a real problem.

  • The company has lost money on sales for the last three years.
  • The effect of these losses is to distort all of the other ratios.
  • Net worth has been cut in half over the period.
  • Clearly, corrective steps must be taken immediately: You can develop a discussion of this by using the list of corrective actions that were associated with the net-profit to net-sales ratio in the causal ratio chapter.

The net sales to net worth ratio also appears out of line.

  • Sales have actually decreased over this period, but net worth has declined by a greater amount
  • Overtrading is not one of this company’s greatest problems.

The miscellaneous assets to net worth ratio is a problem.

  • Even in 20X0 it was higher than the industry average.
  • However, miscellaneous assets have declined so that the reduction in net worth is still the major culprit.

This company’s basic problems come from (1) a loss on sales and (2) a decline in sales volume. This case shows that it is easy to over interpret ratios. The whole picture must be examined.

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