Question 5.11: Ukon Ltd is considering two competing projects. Details of e...

Ukon Ltd is considering two competing projects. Details of each project are as follows:
● Project A has a 0.8 probability of producing a negative NPV of £500,000, a 0.1 prob-ability of producing a positive NPV of £1.0 million, and a 0.1 probability of producing a positive NPV of £5.5 million.
● Project B has a 0.2 probability of producing a positive NPV of £125,000, a 0.3 prob-ability of producing a positive NPV of £250,000, and a 0.5 probability of producing a positive NPV of £300,000.
What is the expected net present value (ENPV) of each project?

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The ENPV of Project A is:

Probability NPV
£
Expected value
£
0.8 (500,000) (400,000)
0.1 1,000,000 1,000,000
0.1 5,500,000 \underline{550,000}
ENPV    \underline{250,000}

The ENPV of Project B is:

Probability NPV
£
Expected value
£
0.2 125,000 25,000
0.3 250,000 75,000
0.5 300,000 \underline{150,000}
ENPV    \underline{250,000}

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