Question 5.p.4: Using the probabilities of .60 for a new bridge and .40 for ...

Using the probabilities of .60 for a new bridge and .40 for no new bridge:
a. Compute the expected value of each alternative in the payoff table, and identify the alternative that would be selected under the expected-value approach.
b. Construct a decision tree for the problem showing expected values.

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a. A: .60(1) + .40(14) = 6.20 [best]
B: .60(2) + .40(10) = 5.20
C: .60(4) + .40(6) = 4.80

b.

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