As shown in Fig. 24.25(a), the area under the normal curve from Z=-\infty \text { to } Z=Z_{0} or –2 indicates the probability of failure of the component. From Table 24.6, the area below the normal curve from Z = 0 to Z = 2 is 0.4772. The shaded area below the normal curve from Z = –2 to Z = –∞ is (0.5 – 0.4772) or 0.0228. Therefore, the probability of failure of the components is 0.0228 or 2.28%. (i)
9 |
8 |
7 |
6 |
5 |
4 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
Z |
.0359 |
.0319 |
.0279 |
.0239 |
.0199 |
.0160 |
.0120 |
.0080 |
.0040 |
.0000 |
0.0 |
.0754 |
.0714 |
.0675 |
.0636 |
.0596 |
.0557 |
.0517 |
.0478 |
.0438 |
.0398 |
0.1 |
.1141 |
.1103 |
.1064 |
.1026 |
.0987 |
.0948 |
.0910 |
.0871 |
.0832 |
.0793 |
0.2 |
.1517 |
.1480 |
.1443 |
.1406 |
.1368 |
.1331 |
.1293 |
.1255 |
.1217 |
.1179 |
0.3 |
.1879 |
.1844 |
.1808 |
.1772 |
.1736 |
.1700 |
.1664 |
.1628 |
.1591 |
.1554 |
0.4 |
.2224 |
.2190 |
.2157 |
.2123 |
.2088 |
.2054 |
.2019 |
.1985 |
.1950 |
.1915 |
0.5 |
.2549 |
.2518 |
.2486 |
.2454 |
.2422 |
.2389 |
.2357 |
.2324 |
.2291 |
.2258 |
0.6 |
.2852 |
.2823 |
.2794 |
.2764 |
.2734 |
.2704 |
.2673 |
.2642 |
.2612 |
.2580 |
0.7 |
.3133 |
.3106 |
.3078 |
.3051 |
.3023 |
.2996 |
.2967 |
.2939 |
.2910 |
.2881 |
0.8 |
.3389 |
.3365 |
.3340 |
.3315 |
.3289 |
.3264 |
.3238 |
.3212 |
.3186 |
.3159 |
0.9 |
.3621 |
.3599 |
.3577 |
.3554 |
.3531 |
.3508 |
.3485 |
.3461 |
.3438 |
.3413 |
1.0 |
.3830 |
.3810 |
.3790 |
.3770 |
.3749 |
.3729 |
.3708 |
.3686 |
.3665 |
.3643 |
1.1 |
.4015 |
.3997 |
.3980 |
.3962 |
.3944 |
.3925 |
.3907 |
.3888 |
.3869 |
.3849 |
1.2 |
.4177 |
.4162 |
.4147 |
.4131 |
.4115 |
.4099 |
.4082 |
.4066 |
.4049 |
.4032 |
1.3 |
.4319 |
.4306 |
.4292 |
.4279 |
.4265 |
.4251 |
.4236 |
.4222 |
.4207 |
.4192 |
1.4 |
.4441 |
.4429 |
.4418 |
.4406 |
.4394 |
.4382 |
.4370 |
.4357 |
.4345 |
.4332 |
1.5 |
.4545 |
.4535 |
.4525 |
.4515 |
.4505 |
.4495 |
.4484 |
.4474 |
.4463 |
.4452 |
1.6 |
.4633 |
.4625 |
.4616 |
.4608 |
.4599 |
.4591 |
.4582 |
.4573 |
.4564 |
.4554 |
1.7 |
.4706 |
.4699 |
.4693 |
.4686 |
.4678 |
.4671 |
.4664 |
.4656 |
.4649 |
.4641 |
1.8 |
.4767 |
.4761 |
.4756 |
.4750 |
.4744 |
.4738 |
.4732 |
.4726 |
.4719 |
.4713 |
1.9 |
.4817 |
.4812 |
.4808 |
.4803 |
.4798 |
.4793 |
.4788 |
.4783 |
.4778 |
.4772 |
2.0 |
.4857 |
.4854 |
.4850 |
.4846 |
.4842 |
.4838 |
.4834 |
.4830 |
.4826 |
.4821 |
2.1 |
.4890 |
.4887 |
.4884 |
.4881 |
.4878 |
.4875 |
.4871 |
.4868 |
.4864 |
.4861 |
2.2 |
.4916 |
.4913 |
.4911 |
.4909 |
.4906 |
.4904 |
.4901 |
.4898 |
.4896 |
.4893 |
2.3 |
.4936 |
.4934 |
.4932 |
.4931 |
.4929 |
.4927 |
.4925 |
.4922 |
.4920 |
.4918 |
2.4 |
.4952 |
.4951 |
.4949 |
.4948 |
.4946 |
.4945 |
.4943 |
.4941 |
.4940 |
.4938 |
2.5 |
.4964 |
.4963 |
.4962 |
.4961 |
.4960 |
.4959 |
.4957 |
.4956 |
.4955 |
.4953 |
2.6 |
.4974 |
.4973 |
.4972 |
.4971 |
.4970 |
.4969 |
.4968 |
.4967 |
.4966 |
.4965 |
2.7 |
.4981 |
.4980 |
.4979 |
.4979 |
.4978 |
.4977 |
.4977 |
.4976 |
.4975 |
.4974 |
2.8 |
.4986 |
.4986 |
.4985 |
.4985 |
.4984 |
.4984 |
.4983 |
.4982 |
.4982 |
.4981 |
2.9 |
.4990 |
.4990 |
.4989 |
.4989 |
.4989 |
.4988 |
.4988 |
.4987 |
.4987 |
.4987 |
3.0 |
.4993 |
.4993 |
.4992 |
.4992 |
.4992 |
.4992 |
.4991 |
.4991 |
.4991 |
.4990 |
3.1 |
.4995 |
.4995 |
.4995 |
.4994 |
.4994 |
.4994 |
.4994 |
.4994 |
.4993 |
.4993 |
3.2 |
.4997 |
.4996 |
.4996 |
.4996 |
.4996 |
.4996 |
.4996 |
.4995 |
.4995 |
.4995 |
3.3 |
.4998 |
.4997 |
.4997 |
.4997 |
.4997 |
.4997 |
.4997 |
.4997 |
.4997 |
.4997 |
3.4 |
.4998 |
.4998 |
.4998 |
.4998 |
.4998 |
.4998 |
.4998 |
.4998 |
.4998 |
.4998 |
3.5 |
.4999 |
.4999 |
.4999 |
.4999 |
.4999 |
.4999 |
.4999 |
.4999 |
.4998 |
.4998 |
3.6 |
.4999 |
.4999 |
.4999 |
.4999 |
.4999 |
.4999 |
.4999 |
.4999 |
.4999 |
.4999 |
3.7 |
.4999 |
.4999 |
.4999 |
.4999 |
.4999 |
.4999 |
.4999 |
.4999 |
.4999 |
.4999 |
3.8 |
.5000 |
.5000 |
.5000 |
.5000 |
.5000 |
.5000 |
.5000 |
.5000 |
.5000 |
.5000 |
3.9 |
Step V Standard deviation to achieve 1% failure rate When the manufacturing process is kept under better quality control, the failure is reduced to 1%. As shown in Fig. 24.25(b), the area below the normal curve from Z=Z_{0} \text { to } Z=+\infty should be 0.99 for a failure of 1%. The area below the normal curve from Z = 0 to Z = + ∞ is 0.5. Therefore, the area below the normal curve from Z = 0 to Z=Z_{0} should be (0.99 – 0.5) or 0.49. From Table 24.6, the corresponding value of Z_{0} is approximately 2.33.
Z_{0}=\frac{m-\mu_{m}}{\hat{\sigma}_{m}} \quad \text { or } \quad-2.33=\frac{0-500}{\hat{\sigma}_{m}} .
\therefore \hat{\sigma}_{m}=214.59 N .
\left(\hat{\sigma}_{m}\right)^{2}=\left(\hat{\sigma}_{S}\right)^{2}+\left(\hat{\sigma}_{F}\right)^{2} .
\text { or }(214.59)^{2}=\left(\hat{\sigma}_{S}\right)^{2}+(200)^{2} \quad \therefore \hat{\sigma}_{S}=77.77 N .
Therefore, it is necessary to reduce the standard deviation of strength from 150 to 77.77 N to reduce the failure of the components to 1%. (ii)
Step VI Mean strength to achieve 1% failure rate
When the mean strength of the component is improved by using a better material, the failure is reduced to 1%. As discussed in part (ii), the corresponding value of Z_{0} is approximately –2.33.
Z_{0}=\frac{m-\mu_{m}}{\hat{\sigma}_{m}} \quad \text { or } \quad-2.33=\frac{0-\mu_{m}}{250} .
\therefore \quad \mu_{m}=2.33(250)=582.5 N .
\mu_{m}=\mu_{S}-\mu_{F} \quad \text { or } \quad 582.5=\mu_{S}-1000 .
\therefore \quad \mu_{S}=1582.5 N .
Therefore, it is necessary to improve the mean strength of the material from 1500 to 1582.5 N in order to reduce the failure of the components to 1%. (iii).