Question 5.T-Y-S.K: A small start-up biotech firm anticipates that it will have ...

A small start-up biotech firm anticipates that it will have cash outflows of \$ 200,000 per year at the end of the next 3 years. Then the firm expects a positive cash flow of \$ 50,000 at the EOY 4 and positive cash flows of \$ 250,000 at the EOY 5-9. Based on these estimates, Would you invest money in this company if your MARR is 15 \% per year? (all sections).

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Find the IRR:

\begin{aligned}0=&-\$ 200,000\left(P / A, i^{\prime}, 3\right)+\$ 50,000\left(P / F, i^{\prime}, 4\right) \\&+\$ 250,000\left(P / A, i^{\prime}, 5\right)\left(P / F, i^{\prime}, 4\right)\end{aligned}

By trial and error, i^{\prime}=17.65 \%, which is greater than the MARR. As a matter of interest, the \mathrm{PW}(15 \%)=\$ 51,094. But the simple payback period is 7 years, so the gamble in this firm is probably too great for a risk intolerant investor (like most of us).

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