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Question 12.EX.14: ROP FOR VARIABLE DEMAND AND VARIABLE LEAD TIME. The Circuit ...

ROP FOR VARIABLE DEMAND AND VARIABLE LEAD TIME. The Circuit Town store’s most popular item is six-packs of 9-volt batteries. About 150 packs are sold per day, following a normal distribution with a standard deviation of 16 packs. Batteries are ordered from an out-of-state distributor; lead time is normally distributed with an average of 5 days and a standard deviation of 1 day. To maintain a 95% service level, what ROP is appropriate?
APPROACH \blacktriangleright Determine a quantity at which to reorder by applying Equation (12-17) to the following
data:
Average daily demand = 150 packs
Standard deviation of demand = \sigma_d = 16 packs
Average lead time = 5 days
Standard deviation of lead time = \sigma_{LT} = 1 day
Service level = 95%, so Z = 1.645 (from Appendix I or the Excel formula = NORMSINV(.95))

ROP = (Average daily demand × Average lead time in days) + Z\sigma_{dLT}                                             (12-17)

TABLE I.1
Z .00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07 .08 .09
.0 .50000 .50399 .50798 .51197 .51595 .51994 .52392 .52790 .53188 .53586
.1 .53983 .54380 .54776 .55172 .55567 .55962 .56356 .56749 .57142 .57535
.2 .57926 .58317 .58706 .59095 .59483 .59871 .60257 .60642 .61026 .61409
.3 .61791 .62172 .62552 .62930 .63307 .63683 .64058 .64431 .64803 .65173
.4 .65542 .65910 .66276 .66640 .67003 .67364 .67724 .68082 .68439 .68793
.5 .69146 .69497 .69847 .70194 .70540 .70884 .71226 .71566 .71904 .72240
.6 .72575 .72907 .73237 .73565 .73891 .74215 .74537 .74857 .75175 .75490
.7 .75804 .76115 .76424 .76730 .77035 .77337 .77637 .77935 .78230 .78524
.8 .78814 .79103 .79389 .79673 .79955 .80234 .80511 .80785 .81057 .81327
.9 .81594 .81859 .82121 .82381 .82639 .82894 .83147 .83398 .83646 .83891
1.0 .84134 .84375 .84614 .84849 .85083 .85314 .85543 .85769 .85993 .86214
1.1 .86433 .86650 .86864 .87076 .87286 .87493 .87698 .87900 .88100 .88298
1.2 .88493 .88686 .88877 .89065 .89251 .89435 .89617 .89796 .89973 .90147
1.3 .90320 .90490 .90658 .90824 .90988 .91149 .91309 .91466 .91621 .91774
1.4 .91924 .92073 .92220 .92364 .92507 .92647 .92785 .92922 .93056 .93189
1.5 .93319 .93448 .93574 .93699 .93822 .93943 .94062 .94179 .94295 .94408
1.6 .94520 .94630 .94738 .94845 .94950 .95053 .95154 .95254 .95352 .95449
1.7 .95543 .95637 .95728 .95818 .95907 .95994 .96080 .96164 .96246 .96327
1.8 .96407 .96485 .96562 .96638 .96712 .96784 .96856 .96926 .96995 .97062
1.9 .97128 .97193 .97257 .97320 .97381 .97441 .97500 .97558 .97615 .97670
2.0 .97725 .97784 .97831 .97882 .97932 .97982 .98030 .98077 .98124 .98169
2.1 .98214 .98257 .98300 .98341 .98382 .98422 .98461 .98500 .98537 .98574
2.2 .98610 .98645 .98679 .98713 .98745 .98778 .98809 .98840 .98870 .98899
2.3 .98928 .98956 .98983 .99010 .99036 .99061 .99086 .99111 .99134 .99158
2.4 .99180 .99202 .99224 .99245 .99266 .99286 .99305 .99324 .99343 .99361
2.5 .99379 .99396 .99413 .99430 .99446 .99461 .99477 .99492 .99506 .99520
2.6 .99534 .99547 .99560 .99573 .99585 .99598 .99609 .99621 .99632 .99643
2.7 .99653 .99664 .99674 .99683 .99693 .99702 .99711 .99720 .99728 .99736
2.8 .99744 .99752 .99760 .99767 .99774 .99781 .99788 .99795 .99801 .99807
2.9 .99813 .99819 .99825 .99831 .99836 .99841 .99846 .99851 .99856 .99861
3.0 .99865 .99869 .99874 .99878 .99882 .99886 .99889 .99893 .99896 .99900
3.1 .99903 .99906 .99910 .99913 .99916 .99918 .99921 .99924 .99926 .99929
3.2 .99931 .99934 .99936 .99938 .99940 .99942 .99944 .99946 .99948 .99950
3.3 .99952 .99953 .99955 .99957 .99958 .99960 .99961 .99962 .99964 .99965
3.4 .99966 .99968 .99969 .99970 .99971 .99972 .99973 .99974 .99975 .99976
3.5 .99977 .99978 .99978 .99979 .99980 .99981 .99981 .99982 .99983 .99983
3.6 .99984 .99985 .99985 .99986 .99986 .99987 .99987 .99988 .99988 .99989
3.7 .99989 .99990 .99990 .99990 .99991 .99991 .99992 .99992 .99992 .99992
3.8 .99993 .99993 .99993 .99994 .99994 .99994 .99994 .99995 .99995 .99995
3.9 .99995 .99995 .99996 .99996 .99996 .99996 .99996 .99996 .99997 .99997
TABLE I.2
Z .00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07 .08 .09
0.0 .00000 .00399 .00798 .01197 .01595 .01994 .02392 .02790 .03188 .03586
0.1 .03983 .04380 .04776 .05172 .05567 .05962 .06356 .06749 .07142 .07535
0.2 .07926 .08317 .08706 .09095 .09483 .09871 .10257 .10642 .11026 .11409
0.3 .11791 .12172 .12552 .12930 .13307 .13683 .14058 .14431 .14803 .15173
0.4 .15542 .15910 .16276 .16640 .17003 .17364 .17724 .18082 .18439 .18793
0.5 .19146 .19497 .19847 .20194 .20540 .20884 .21226 .21566 .21904 22240
0.6 .22575 .22907 .23237 .23565 .23891 .24215 .24537 .24857 .25175 .25490
0.7 .25804 .26115 .26424 .26730 .27035 .27337 .27637 .27935 .28230 .28524
0.8 .28814 .29103 .29389 .29673 .29955 .30234 .30511 .30785 .31057 .31327
0.9 .31594 .31859 .32121 .32381 .32639 .32894 .33147 .33398 .33646 .33891
1.0 .34134 .34375 .34614 .34850 .35083 .35314 .35543 .35769 .35993 .36214
1.1 .36433 .36650 .36864 .37076 .37286 .37493 .37698 .37900 .38100 .38298
1.2 .38493 .38686 .38877 .39065 .39251 .39435 .39617 .39796 .39973 .40147
1.3 .40320 .40490 .40658 .40824 .40988 .41149 .41309 .41466 .41621 .41174
1.4 .41924 .42073 .42220 .42364 .42507 .42647 .42786 .42922 .43056 .43189
1.5 .43319 .43448 .43574 .43699 .43822 .43943 .44062 .44179 .44295 .44408
1.6 .44520 .44630 .44738 .44845 .44950 .45053 .45154 .45254 .45352 .45449
1.7 .45543 .45637 .45728 .45818 .45907 .45994 .46080 .46164 .46246 .46327
1.8 .46407 .46485 .46562 .46638 .46712 .46784 .46856 .46926 .46995 .47062
1.9 .47128 .47193 .47257 .47320 .47381 .47441 .47500 .47558 .47615 .47670
2.0 .47725 .47778 .47831 .47882 .47932 .47982 .48030 .48077 .48124 .48169
2.1 .48214 .48257 .48300 .48341 .48382 .48422 .48461 .48500 .48537 .48574
2.2 .48610 .48645 .48679 .48713 .48745 .48778 .48809 .48840 .48870 .48899
2.3 .48928 .48956 .48983 .49010 .49036 .49061 .49086 .49111 .49134 .49158
2.4 .49180 .49202 .49224 .49245 .49266 .49286 .49305 .49324 .49343 .49361
2.5 .49379 .49396 .49413 .49430 .49446 .49461 .49477 .49492 .49506 .49520
2.6 .49534 .49547 .49560 .49573 .49585 .49598 .49609 .49621 .49632 .49643
2.7 .49653 .49664 .49674 .49683 .49693 .49702 .49711 .49720 .49728 .49736
2.8 .49744 .49752 .49760 .49767 .49774 .49781 .49788 .49795 .49801 .49807
2.9 .49813 .49819 .49825 .49831 .49836 .49841 .49846 .49851 .49856 .49861
3.0 .49865 .49869 .49874 .49878 .49882 .49886 .49889 .49893 .49897 .49900
3.1 .49903 .49906 .49910 .49913 .49916 .49918 .49921 .49924 .49926 .49929
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