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Question 13.5: Shoplifting Incidents In a large department store, the owner......

Shoplifting Incidents

In a large department store, the owner wishes to see whether the number of shoplifting incidents per day will change if the number of uniformed security officers is doubled. A random sample of 7 days before security is increased and 7 days after the increase shows the number of shoplifting incidents.

Is there enough evidence to support the claim, at α = 0.05, that there is a difference in the number of shoplifting incidents before and after the increase in security?

 

Day

Number of shoplifting incidents
Before After
Monday 7 5
Tuesday 2 3
Wednesday 3 4
Thursday 6 3
Friday 5 1
Saturday 8 6
Sunday 12 4
Step-by-Step
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Step 1 State the hypotheses and identify the claim.

H_{0} : There is no difference in the number of shoplifting incidents before and after the increase in security.

H_{1} : There is a difference in the number of shoplifting incidents before and after the increase in security (claim).

Step 2 Find the critical value from Table K because n \leq 30. Since n=7 and \alpha=0.05 for this two-tailed test, the critical value is 2 . See Figure 13-2.

Step 3 Find the test value.

a. Make a table as shown.

\begin{array}{|l|c|c|c|c|c|c|} \hline Day & Before, \boldsymbol{X}_{\boldsymbol{B}} & After, \boldsymbol{X}_{\boldsymbol{A}} & \begin{array}{c}\text { Difference } \\ \boldsymbol{D}=\boldsymbol{X}_{\boldsymbol{B}}-\boldsymbol{X}_{\boldsymbol{A}}\end{array} & \begin{array}{c}\text { Absolute } \\ \text { value } \boldsymbol{D} \mid\end{array} & Rank & \begin{array}{c}\text { Signed } \\ \text { rank }\end{array} \\ \hline Mon. & 7 & 5 & & & & \\ Tues. & 2 & 3 & & & & \\ Wed. & 3 & 4 & & & & \\ Thurs. & 6 & 3 & & & & \\ Fri. & 5 & 1 & & & & \\ Sat. & 8 & 6 & & & & \\ Sun. & 12 & 4 & & & & \\ \hline \end{array}

b. Find the differences (before minus after), and place the values in the Difference column.

\begin{aligned}& 7-5=2 \quad 6-3=3 \quad 8-6=2 \\& 2-3=-1 \quad 5-1=4 \quad 12-4=8 \\& 3-4=-1\end{aligned}

c. Find the absolute value of each difference, and place the results in the Absolute value column. (Note: The absolute value of any number except 0 is the positive value of the number. Any differences of 0 should be ignored.)

\begin{array}{rlr}|2|=2 & |3|=3 & |2|=2 \\|-1|=1 & |4|=4 & |8|=8 \\|-1|=1 & &\end{array}

d. Rank each absolute value from lowest to highest, and place the rankings in the Rank column. In the case of a tie, assign the values that rank plus 0.5.

\begin{array}{|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|} \hline \text{Value }& 2 & 1 & 1 & 3 & 4 & 2 & 8 \\ \hline \text{Rank }& 3.5 & 1.5 & 1.5 & 5 & 6 & 3.5 & 7 \\ \hline \end{array}

e. Give each rank a plus or minus sign, according to the sign in the Difference column. The completed table is shown here.

\begin{array}{|l|c|c|c|c|c|c|} \hline Day & Before, \boldsymbol{X}_{\boldsymbol{B}} & After, \boldsymbol{X}_{\boldsymbol{A}} & \begin{array}{c}\text { Difference } \\ \boldsymbol{D}=\boldsymbol{X}_{\boldsymbol{B}}-\boldsymbol{X}_{\boldsymbol{A}}\end{array} & \begin{array}{c}\text { Absolute } \\ \text { value }|\boldsymbol{D}|\end{array} & Rank & \begin{array}{c}\text { Signed } \\ \text { rank }\end{array} \\ \hline Mon. & 7 & 5 & 2 & 2 & 3.5 & +3.5 \\ Tues. & 2 & 3 & -1 & 1 & 1.5 & -1.5 \\ Wed. & 3 & 4 & -1 & 1 & 1.5 & -1.5 \\ Thurs. & 6 & 3 & 3 & 3 & 5 & +5 \\ Fri. & 5 & 1 & 4 & 4 & 6 & +6 \\ Sat. & 8 & 6 & 2 & 2 & 3.5 & +3.5 \\ Sun. & 12 & 4 & 8 & 8 & 7 & +7 \\ \hline \end{array}

f. Find the sum of the positive ranks and the sum of the negative ranks separately.

Positive rank sum \quad(+3.5)+(+5)+(+6)+(+3.5)+(+7)=+25 Negative rank sum \quad(-1.5)+(-1.5) \quad=-3

g. Select the smaller of the absolute values of the sums (|-3|), and use this absolute value as the test value w_{s}. In this case, w_{s}=|-3|=3.

Step 4 Make the decision. Reject the null hypothesis if the test value is less than or equal to the critical value. In this case, 3>2; hence, the decision is to not reject the null hypothesis.

Step 5 Summarize the results. There is not enough evidence at \alpha=0.05 to support the claim that there is a difference in the number of shoplifting incidents before and after the increase in security. Hence, the security increase probably made no difference in the number of shoplifting incidents.

TABLE  K  Critical Values for the Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test
Reject the null hypothesis if the test value is less than or equal to the value given in the table
n One-tailed,
𝜶 = 0.05
𝜶 = 0.025 𝜶 = 0.01 𝜶 = 0.005
Two-tailed,
𝜶 = 0.10
𝜶 = 0.05 𝜶 = 0.02 𝜶 = 0.01
5 1
6 2 1
7 4 2 0
8 6 4 2 0
9 8 6 3 2
10 11 8 5 3
11 14 11 7 5
12 17 14 10 7
13 21 17 13 10
14 26 21 16 13
15 30 25 20 16
16 36 30 24 19
17 41 35 28 23
18 47 40 33 28
19 54 46 38 32
20 60 52 43 37
21 68 59 49 43
22 75 66 56 49
23 83 73 62 55
24 92 81 69 61
25 101 90 77 68
26 110 98 85 76
27 120 107 93 84
28 130 117 102 92
29 141 127 111 100
30 152 137 120 109

Source: From Some Rapid Approximate Statistical Procedures, Copyright 1949, 1964 Lerderle Laboratories, American Cyanamid Co.,
Wayne, N.J. Reprinted with permission.

13.2

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