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Question 7.9: The number K of parcels that the drivers of a parcel deliver......

The number K of parcels that the drivers of a parcel delivery service company can load in their trucks is a random variable with the

\,\displaystyle p_K\left (k\right )=\frac{40^k e^{-40}}{k !} \quad k=0,1,2, \ldots

The weight W of a parcel in pounds is a continuous random variable with

\,\displaystyle f_W\left (w\right )= \begin{cases}\frac{1}{6} & 3 \leq w \leq 9 \\ 0 & \text { otherwise }\end{cases}

Let X denote the weight of a randomly selected loaded truck.

a. What is the s-transform of the PDF of X?

b. What is the expected value of X?

c. What is the variance of X?

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(a) Let the number of parcels in the truck be K=k, and let W_i denote the weight of parcel i, \,\displaystyle 1 \leq i \leq k. Then, since we have fixed K at k, we have that

\,\displaystyle \begin{aligned} & \left.X\right\vert _{K=k}=W_1+W_2+\cdots+W_k \\ & M_{X \mid K}\left (s \mid k\right )=\left[M_W\left (s\right )\right]^k \end{aligned}

Thus, the s-transform of the PDF of \,\displaystyle X is

\,\displaystyle M_X\left (s\right )=\sum_{k=0}^{\infty} M_{X \mid K}\left (s \mid k\right ) p_K\left (k\right )=\sum_{k=0}^{\infty}\left[M_W\left (s\right )\right]^k p_K\left (k\right )=G_K\left (M_W\left (s\right )\right )

where, G_K(z)=exp(-40{1-z}) and from equation (7.21), M_W(s) is given by:

\,\displaystyle  M_X\left (s\right ) =\int_0^{\infty} e^{-s x} f_X\left (x\right ) d x=\frac{1}{b-a} \int_a^b e^{-s x} d x=\left[-\frac{e^{-s x}}{s\left (b-a\right )}\right]_a^b \\  =\frac{e^{-a s}-e^{-b s}}{s\left (b-a\right )}\qquad            (7.21)

\,\displaystyle M_W\left (s\right )=\frac{e^{-a s}-e^{-b s}}{s\left (b-a\right )}=\frac{e^{-3 s}-e^{-9 s}}{6 s}

(b) Since K is a Poisson random variable, its expected value and variance are given by

\,\displaystyle E[K]=\sigma_K^2=40

Similarly, since W has a uniform distribution, its mean and variance are given by

\,\displaystyle \begin{gathered} E[W]=\frac{3+9}{2}=6 \\ \sigma_W^2=\frac{\left (9-3\right )^2}{12}=3 \end{gathered}

Thus, \,\displaystyle E[X] =E[K]E[W]=240.

(c) The variance of X is given by

\,\displaystyle \sigma_X^2=E[K] \sigma_W^2+\{E[W]\}^2 \sigma_K^2=\left (40\right )\left (3\right )+\left (b^2\right )\left (40\right )=1560

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